Selected Papers by John H. Walsh
A limited number of hard copies of papers that cannot be downloaded are
available from the author who may be reached at
jhwalsh@ca.inter.net
- Random Quotations
CONTINUOUSLY UPDATED. Contributions and suggestions invited.
- 2009 Carbon Dioxide
Fact Sheet UPDATED June 2010. World Emissions of CO2 from the Fossil Fuels - Shares of China and the U.S. December 2010.
- World Oil Production
and Per Capita Oil Consumption UPDATED June 2010.
- A Note on the Rate of Depletion of World Oil Reserves Determined by Combining Skrebowski Analysis with the Parabolic Model developed to Project Future Production based upon Geologicial Resource Assessments December 2010.
- A Strategy for Electric Vehicles in Ontario. This paper also appeared in the
Proceedings of the Canadian Association for the Club of Rome, Series 3, No. 12 (June) 2008.
- The Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle, Nuclear Energy and the Hydrogen Economy. Speaking notes prepared for a presentation to the Ottawa Branch of the Canadian Nuclear Society, 20 March 2008.
- Comparison of the Hubbert Linearization (HL) and Staged Parabolic Methods for Determining Peaks in World Oil Production November 2007.
Full Text in .pdf Format (6 pages)
- The Introduction of Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles and the Evolution of the
Electrical Network Towards the Hydrogen Economy. August 2007.
Abstract,
Full text in .pdf format
(9 pages).
- Parabolic Projection of
a Recent Estimate of World Conventional Oil Production, July 2007.
- A New
Modelling Method for Evaluating Undiscovered Resources of World Conventional
Oil, April 2007.
- Energy
Elements – A Retrospective from Past Papers, March 2007.
- Parabolic
Projection of World Oil Production for a High Resource Case, November 2006.
- The
Twin Crises Revisited, Revised July 2006.
- Note on Compound Decline Curves for World Conventional Oil
Production. May 2006.
Summary,
Full text including two
figures in .pdf format
- Note on Remaining World Oil Resources and Per Capita Production Relations
Near the Peak. January 2006.
Summary,
Full text including two
figures in .pdf format
- Note on World Oil Production and Depletion Relations Near the Peak.
November 2005.
Summary,
Full text including graph in .pdf
format
- The Impending Twin Crises: One Set of Solutions?. Published in the
Proceedings of the Canadian Association for the Club of Rome, Series 3 No. 6
(September) 2005.
Abstract,
Text of paper including
four appendices in .pdf format
- Graphs of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Parabolic Projections of World
Production of Conventional Oil and Natural Gas. Revised February 2005.
Summary,
Graphs with supporting text
in .pdf format
- Graph of Projected World Emissons of Carbon Dioxide from Conventional Oil
for Different Values of Peak Production. December 2004.
Abstract,
Graph with supporting text
in .pdf format
- Parabolic Prediction of the Timing of Specified Peaks for World Conventional
Oil Production. September 2004.
Abstract,
Full paper in .pdf
format
- Note on Testing the Adequacy of Discovery Rates of Conventional Oil to
Avoid the Formation of a Plateau Peak in World Production. August 2004.
Abstract,
Full paper in .pdf format
- A Conceptual Process for the Production of Hydrogen from the Organic Fraction of Municipal Wastes and Biomass. June 2004. Based upon a presentation to the MIT Club of Ottawa on 14 April 2004.
Full paper in .pdf format
- Procedure for the Parabolic Projection of Geological Assessments of
Conventional Oil and Gas Resources with Examples. Revised January 2004.
Abstract,
Full paper in .pdf format
- A Graphical Technique for the Comparison of Carbon Dioxide Capture and
Sequestering Costs in Coal-based Electrical Generation with Natural Gas Combined Cycle
Technology under North American Conditions. November 2003.
Abstract,
Full paper in .pdf format
- Predominance Diagrams for the Generation of Electricity from Natural Gas in
Relation to Nuclear Energy or Wind Power in North America. September 2003.
Abstract,
Full paper in .pdf format
- Conventional Natural Gas Production Decline Patterns. September 2003.
Abstract,
Full paper in .pdf format
- Parabolic Projection of Four Assessments of Canadian Conventional Natural
Gas Resources. August 2003.
Abstract,
Full paper in .pdf format
- Possible New Coal and Bitumen Transportation Options for the Further
Development of the Oil Sands of Alberta, June 2003.
Note in .pdf form
- The Coming Three Peaks in the World Energy System and their Relationship to
Climate Change and Poverty. March 2003.
Abstract,
Full paper in .pdf format
- Empirical Relations in the World Electrical System. December 2002.
Abstract,
Full paper in .pdf format with
seven figures.
- Coefficients for Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Mobile Sources in the U.S.,
Canada, and the U.K. Derived from a Simple Spreadsheet. August 2002.
Abstract,
Note in .pdf form with three
figures.
- Comparison of the Deffeyes Plot with the Staged Parabolic Technique for the
Prediction of the Peak in World Production of Conventional Oil. May 2002.
Abstract,
Note in .pdf form with one
figure
- Future Carbon Dioxide Emissions from the World Transportation Sector
Related to Projected Conventional Oil Production, January 2002.
Abstract,
Note in .pdf form with two
figures
- The World Energy Situation after the Peak in Conventional Oil Production has
Passed, Proceedings of the Canadian Association for the Club of Rome, Series 3,
Number 3, (March) 2002.
Abstract,
Full paper in .pdf form
- Note on the Delay in the Peak in the Supply of Liquid Fuel for Transportation
Applications Derived from Conventional Oil by Greater Allocation to this Sector,
December 2001.
Abstract,
Note in .pdf form with figure
- The Decline of World Oil Reserves Predicted by the Parabolic Projection of
Future Production and Discoveries, July 2001.
Abstract,
Full paper in .pdf form.
- Parabolic Projection of World Conventional Oil Production Based on Year 2000
Resource Assessment of the U.S. Geological Survey, Proceedings of the Canadian
Association for the Club of Rome, Series 2, Number 3, Spring/Summer 2001.
Abstract,
Full paper remounted in August
2001 in .pdf form.
- Parabolic Projection of World Conventional Natural Gas Production Based on
Year 2000 Resource Assessment of the U.S. Geological Survey. Note: The six
figures of this paper are not included with this text but may be obtained in hard copy form
by contacting the author at jhwalsh@ca.inter.net.
World natural gas paper
without figures
- Proposal for a Revolving
Fund to Assist the Introduction of Nuclear Power Technology in a Deregulated Electrical
Market. Note tabled for discussion purposes at the Annual General Meeting of the
Canadian Association for the Club of Rome, June 5, 2001.
- Neutral Emission
Electricity and Methanol Derived from Coal and Biomass in Conventional Facilities
Linked to Coal Bed Methane Operations (Only the text is mounted on the Web. A
hard copy including the four figures may be obtained on request from the author.)
- Stoichiometric Relations
for Neutral Emissions in the Generation of Electricity and Motor Fuels Produced from
Coal and Biomass Linked to Sequestration in Coal Seams, January 2001. (Only the
text is mounted on the Web. A hard copy including the seven figures may be obtained on
request from the author.)
- Options for the Generation
of Electricity in a Carbon-Constrained World Assessed at the Cairns GHGT-5
Conference. November 2000.
- Parabolic Adjustment for
Idle Capacity in the World Conventional Oil Production System. This text-only paper
does not as yet include the two figures. A limited number of hard copies including the
figures are available from the author at jhwalsh@ca.inter.net. September 2000. This paper
should be read in conjunction with
Parabolic Projection of World
Conventional Oil Production Based on Year 2000 Resource Assessment of the U.S.
Geological Survey,
- Parabolic Projection of
Conventional Natural Gas Production from the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin.
This text-only paper does not as yet include the three figures. A limited number of hard
copies including the figures are available from the author at jhwalsh@ca.inter.net. August
2000.
- The Linkage of Coal Bed
Methane Production to Energy Conversion Technologies Equipped for Capture of Carbon
Dioxide First Mounted January 2000 and Revised February 2000.
- The Future for the Fossil
Fuels (Published in the Proceedings of the Canadian Association for the Club of
Rome, Series 2, Number 2, (Autumn) 1999.)
- Note on a Graphical
Technique to Represent Consumption of Gasoline in Cars in Canada, April 1999.
- Commentary on
IIASA/World Energy Council Study September 1997. An extended version of this
commentary with three figures was published with the title Three Important New
Factors in the Energy System Affecting Carbon Dioxide Emissions to the Year
2050 in the Proceedings of the Canadian Association for the Club of Rome, Series
1, Number 26, (June) 1998.
- The Energy
Paradoxes (Published in the Proceedings of the Canadian Association for the Club of
Rome, Series 1, Number 20, December 1996.)
- A Simple Algorithm for
the Discussion of the Role of Technology in Market Economies
- Policy Passages from the
Novels of C.P. Snow (Published in the Proceedings of the Canadian Association for
the Club of Rome, Series 1, Number 17, March 1996.)
A few copies of the following papers are available in hard copy from
the author.
- Technical Note Comparing Parabolic and Normal Curves for Modelling the
Peak Period in Petroleum Production. Supporting document of sixteen pages of text
together with fifteen graphs prepared for a series of studies in progress on world,
Canadian and U.S. petroleum resources. This effort is aimed specifically at predicting the
magnitude and the date of the peak in world oil production, the peak for natural gas and
post-peak conventional oil production in Canada, and post-peak conventional oil
production in the U.S. July 1998.
- The Track of Oil Reserves for a Medium Case Assessment of World
Resources, August, 1998.
- Two World Natural Gas Production Parabolas Staged at 1988 December
1998.
- Parabolic Interpretation of Excess Capacity in the World Production of
Conventional Oil, October 1999.
- A Simple Spreadsheet for the Assessment of Options for the Mitigation of
World Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Energy Conversion and Management, Vol.
37, Nos.6-8, pp.709-716, 1996 (Presented to the IEA Greenhouse Gas
Mitigation Options Conference, London, August 22-25, 1995).
- The Sequestering of Carbon Dioxide, Embodied Energy and Common Targets
for the Mitigation of Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Energy Conversion and
Management, Supplemental Vol. 38, 1997, 581-588. (Presented to the Third
International Conference on Carbon Dioxide Removal, MIT, Cambridge, Mass.,
September 9-11, 1996).
- Application of Energy Maps to the Study of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from
Energy-Intensive Industrial Sectors, Proceedings of the 4th Workshop of the IEA
Energy Technology Systems Analysis Programmes (ETSAP), Banff, Alberta, 2-8
September 1994.
Home Page of J.H.
Walsh
19 Lambton Avenue
Ottawa, Ontario, K1M 0Z6
Tel: 613-745-
6279
E-Mail: jhwalsh@ca.inter.net